BPN and Statscope India Kerala Exit Poll 2026 Projects UDF Victory Over LDF
Bharat Pulse News, in partnership with Statscope India, projects a UDF victory in the 2026 Kerala Assembly election, with the opposition front emerging clearly ahead of the ruling LDF and comfortably above the majority mark. The latest projection places the UDF in the strongest position to form the next government, while the LDF is expected to retain a limited but relevant presence across select constituencies. The NDA, meanwhile, is projected to post a modest but noticeable performance in a handful of seats.
The overall projection gives the UDF 94 seats, the LDF 31 seats, the NDA 13 seats and Others 2 seats. In a 140-member Assembly, that gives the UDF a solid advantage over the 71-seat majority mark and points to a strong anti-incumbency undercurrent in the state. While the ruling Left front remains competitive in several pockets, the broader electoral mood appears to favour a change of government.
For the UDF, the biggest strength in this projection lies in the scale of its lead rather than just the fact of being ahead. Crossing into the 90-seat mark would represent a decisive mandate in Kerala’s usually competitive bipolar politics. For the LDF, the battle appears less about retaining power and more about limiting losses and defending its stronger zones. The NDA is not projected to emerge as a statewide challenger, but its expected tally remains significant enough to show that it continues to hold influence in select constituencies.
Projected Seat Range
BJP: 11-13
BDJS: 0-2
IUML: 24-26
INC: 54-60
CPI: 4-6
CPI(M): 21-23
IND: 1-3
RMPI: 0-2
ISJD: 0-2
KC(J): 0-2
KEC: 4-6
KC(M): 1-3
NCP-SP: 0-2
RSP: 2-4
KC(B): 0-2
CMP: 0-2
Front-wise Projection
NDA: 12-14
UDF: 89-99
LDF: 29-33
OTHERS: 1-3
