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Indian Crude Near $137 Amid Gulf Conflict

India’s crude oil basket has surged sharply since the Gulf conflict began, climbing to about $137 a barrel and sharply increasing pressure on refiners, import costs and the broader economy. The spike reflects tighter global supply, disruption around the Strait of Hormuz and a rapid rise in freight and risk premiums linked to the ongoing regional crisis.

Indian Crude Price Jumps Amid Gulf Conflict

The Indian crude basket, which combines Oman, Dubai and Brent-linked grades, has risen steeply since late February as the conflict in West Asia disrupted oil markets. The latest reported level of around $136.5 to $137 a barrel marks a jump of more than 90 percent from pre-conflict levels. The increase has significantly raised the cost of crude for Indian refiners, including public sector fuel retailers and private processors.

Strait Of Hormuz Disruption Raises India Risk

A major reason for the price shock is the disruption around the Strait of Hormuz, one of the world’s most important energy corridors. A large share of global oil and gas trade passes through the route, and India is especially exposed because a substantial part of its energy imports is linked to supplies moving through the Gulf. With vessel movement still under stress, markets remain sensitive to every new development in the region, keeping price volatility elevated.

Impact On Fuel Companies And Economy

The rise in crude prices is expected to squeeze refining and marketing margins, particularly if domestic fuel prices remain unchanged for longer. Higher oil costs can also widen India’s import bill, increase pressure on the current account deficit and feed into inflation if the trend continues. Economists have warned that a sustained period of expensive crude could affect fiscal planning, external balances and overall growth expectations, making the oil price surge one of the biggest economic risks linked to the ongoing conflict.

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