BPN Exclusive in Partnership with Statscope India Research: Independent Analysis of the Kirana Hills Incident Made Public

By Editor - News Desk May 14, 2025

This report was originally intended to be part of our subscriber-only Bharat Pulse Plus Edition, where we typically publish classified insight, in-depth defense analyses, and exclusive investigations behind a paywall to support independent journalism. However, the gravity of what has been uncovered, the questions it raises about regional stability, and the overwhelming public interest compelled us to make this article freely available to all readers.

At Bharat Pulse News, we believe that certain truths demand to be known, regardless of subscription tiers. Especially when those truths point to a likely cross-border precision strike on one of Pakistan’s most sensitive military installations — and the entire world’s governments, including India, have chosen silence as their official response.

To investigate what happened at Kirana Hills in Pakistan’s Sargodha District on the night of 9th to 10th May 2025, we partnered with Statscope Research India, an independent analysis firm led by civilian and defense data scientists. This collaboration ensured that our findings are grounded not in speculation or political narrative, but in hard satellite data, comparative technical validation, and unbiased expertise.

Our joint investigation aims to do three things:

Confirm whether an aerial kinetic strike took place using publicly available Earth observation imagery.
Establish whether the damage signatures correspond to known missile systems in India’s arsenal.
Clarify why the government’s silence is a deliberate, strategic posture — and what that tells us about India’s evolving doctrine.

This article does not rely on unnamed sources, leaks, or political gossip. Instead, it applies scientific rigor, image-based terrain verification, missile capability assessments, and sensor-resolution analysis to cut through the fog of war and diplomacy.

In an era of information overload and narrative warfare, we are letting the evidence speak — clearly, quietly, and independently.

Context: What Is Kirana Hills and Why It Matters

The Kirana Hills, located near Sargodha in Pakistan’s Punjab province, are not just another mountain range in South Asia’s rugged landscape. To seasoned military analysts and intelligence agencies across the world, Kirana Hills are known for something far more ominous — their alleged use as a nuclear warhead storage and testing complex, heavily embedded beneath the terrain.

The area gained prominence in the 1980s when Pakistan, under the guidance of its military-led nuclear program, began conducting what are suspected to be subcritical nuclear tests and deep tunneling operations in the region. Unlike the widely known nuclear test site at Chagai Hills, Kirana Hills is designed not for demonstration, but for concealment. It has long been speculated that the hill complex hosts:

Underground vaults for storing fissile material or warheads,
Missile launch readiness shelters,
Command-and-control bunkers for wartime continuity.

Satellite observations from as far back as the early 2000s have consistently shown irregular terrain modifications, security perimeters, vehicle movement patterns, and buried entrances indicative of heavy militarization below ground. This is not a civilian area. It is a militarized nuclear redoubt — Pakistan’s last-resort insurance policy.

Its proximity to PAF Base Sargodha (Mushaf Airbase) — one of Pakistan’s most strategically vital air installations — only compounds its importance. Together, these sites form a node in Pakistan’s nuclear triad survivability plan, intended to ensure that even in the event of a decapitation strike, its nuclear capabilities remain intact and operational.

That is precisely what makes any attack on Kirana Hills a line-crossing event. It’s not just military; it’s symbolic. It challenges the deterrence doctrine itself.

And yet, on the night of 9th May 2025, something — or someone — struck it.

There was no official admission. No ISPR press conference. No global outcry. Only satellite images changed — and then disappeared from some repositories. That’s where we began our investigation.

Visual Evidence: Satellite Imagery Analysis – Before and After

To establish whether a strike occurred at Kirana Hills between 9th and 10th May 2025, the research teams at Bharat Pulse News and Statscope Research India conducted a comparative geospatial analysis using two independent, publicly available satellite sources:

Sentinel-2 L2A (European Space Agency) – image from 9th May 2025, processed with surface reflectance correction and 10-meter RGB resolution.
Landsat 8 Real-Time (United States Geological Survey) – image from 10th May 2025, captured via 30-meter multispectral and 15-meter panchromatic sensors, particularly sensitive to thermal and surface anomalies.

The change detection was done using:

Manual and automated pixel comparison over the same coordinates,
Atmospheric normalization between sensors,
Thermal band analysis from Landsat for signs of heat or burn residue,
Annotated overlay of affected zones using control points.

Key Findings from Image Comparison:

🔴 1. Suspected Strike Burnout Zone

The central ridge section of Kirana Hills appears normal and undisturbed in the Sentinel-2 image (9th May).
In the 10th May Landsat image, that same area shows darkened terrain, consistent with thermal exposure or an explosion impact.
The zone has high IR absorption and shows signs of ash residue or carbonization — typical of a bunker-busting payload hitting a hardened surface.

🟠 2. Crater-Like Depression

Near the suspected impact zone, a circular, light-rimmed feature appears in the post-strike image.
This feature was not present 24 hours earlier.
Statscope’s interpretation suggests a crater formation possibly caused by a penetrator warhead — indicating direct kinetic impact on underground infrastructure.

🟢 3. Tunnel Infrastructure Damage

The northeastern segment of the hills, which exhibits structured linear features and terrain vent patterns (likely indicating tunnel entrances or air shafts), shows visible changes in color tone and ground texture.
Some lines appear to have shifted or disintegrated — which could imply blast shock deformation or partial tunnel collapse.

🔵 4. Peripheral Scorching

In the southwestern flank, where vegetation and terrain remained intact on 9th May, the Landsat 10th May image shows whitening or bleaching — which in satellite imagery may indicate flash burns, secondary blast heating, or debris fallout.
This aligns with expected impact dynamics of a high-speed missile strike or detonation near the surface.

Cross-Sensor Confidence

Skeptics may question the legitimacy of comparing two different satellite platforms. Here’s how that was addressed:

Temporal Proximity: The imagery was only 24 hours apart, ruling out seasonal or climatic variance.
Aligned Spectral Bands: Bands used from both Sentinel and Landsat were matched to ensure the same surface characteristics were being assessed.
Independent Validation: Thermal anomalies from Landsat were cross-verified with visual pixel change from Sentinel.
Geometric Calibration: All visual overlays were anchored to the same geospatial control points using GIS tools.

In short, the difference between the two images is not a trick of resolution or platform. It is a reflection of physical terrain change, most likely caused by external kinetic force — i.e., a missile strike.

What Kind of Weapon Was Likely Used?

The nature of the damage observed at Kirana Hills is precise, concentrated, and surgically destructive — not indiscriminate, not sprawling, and certainly not accidental. This points us toward a precision-guided standoff munition — something designed not to flatten a city block, but to pierce hardened military infrastructure and destroy what’s inside.

Based on terrain deformation, burn patterns, and absence of large-scale blast debris, two Indian missile systems emerge as the most probable candidates:

🚀 Option 1: SCALP-EG (Storm Shadow)

Origin: France
Platform: Rafale fighter jets
Range: ~500 km
Speed: Subsonic
Warhead: 450 kg BROACH dual-stage — first stage penetrates bunkers, second explodes inside
Specialty: Deep-strike precision, stealth penetration of hardened targets

Why It Fits the Scene:

Designed to enter terrain and explode deep within, leaving minimal surface signature — matching what we see at Kirana Hills.
Can be launched from deep within Indian airspace; flies low and terrain-hugging, evading radar.
Its crater and scorching pattern often resemble what’s observed in the 10th May satellite imagery.

Why It Might Not Be Used:

SCALP is foreign-origin and comes with diplomatic strings attached.
Its usage would likely leave logistical traces via NATO-linked telemetry or coordination chains.
If deniability was the goal, this weapon’s use would complicate secrecy.

🚀 Option 2: BrahMos-A (Air-Launched Supersonic Cruise Missile)

Origin: India-Russia (Indigenous deployment)
Platform: Su-30MKI fighter jets
Range: ~400–500 km (extended version in use)
Speed: Supersonic (Mach 2.8–3.0)
Warhead: ~300 kg, configurable for high-explosive or penetrator roles
Specialty: Speed-based penetration and pin-point accuracy

Why It Fits the Scene:

BrahMos is India’s flagship missile with high-speed and precision — near impossible to intercept.
Reports suggest that penetrator warhead variants have been under testing by DRDO — potentially used here.
The use of BrahMos-A keeps the entire operation under Indian control — no foreign sign-off required.
Fits the doctrine of “act without attribution” — it is fast, lethal, and indigenous.

Why It’s Highly Likely:

Damage is surgical, limited, and consistent with BrahMos impact modified for hardened structures.
Zero international chatter or alert — suggesting the strike didn’t involve a NATO-origin system like SCALP.
The government’s ambiguous silence aligns better with indigenous use, not a French export.

⚖️ Technical Comparison at a Glance:

Feature	SCALP-EG	BrahMos-A
Origin	France	India (with Russia)
Warhead	450 kg BROACH (penetrator+blast)	300 kg (modular)
Range	~500 km	~400–500 km
Speed	Subsonic	Supersonic (~Mach 3)
Detectability	Very low	Extremely low due to speed
Attribution Risk	High (foreign system)	Low (Indian system)
Political Cover	Weak	Strong

🧠 Conclusion:

While both missiles are capable of delivering the kind of precise, underground-impact strike seen at Kirana Hills, the total absence of any diplomatic, media, or international chatter makes SCALP-EG less likely. India would have had to inform or coordinate with France — which runs counter to the doctrine of strategic ambiguity observed in this incident.

Instead, all available visual and geopolitical evidence supports the theory that this was an air-launched BrahMos strike — possibly a modified penetrator variant, launched from within Indian territory by Su-30MKI aircraft.

No radar detected it. No public statement followed. But the satellite images tell the story.

Why There Was No Official Acknowledgement

In most geopolitical crises, a missile strike of this magnitude — especially one targeting suspected nuclear infrastructure — would trigger a flurry of press briefings, denials, diplomatic summits, and emergency alerts. Yet after what likely transpired at Kirana Hills on 10th May 2025, the Indian government said… absolutely nothing.

No Ministry of Defence statement.
No press conference by the Prime Minister’s Office.
No acknowledgment by the Indian Air Force.
No photographs, no press leaks, no flag-waving.

This silence is not an oversight. It is a doctrine — and it is intentional.

🔇 The Power of Strategic Ambiguity

India has, over the past five years, shifted its posture from reactive public messaging (as seen in Balakot 2019) to a calibrated strategy of silence, especially when engaging in high-stakes deterrent operations. This approach accomplishes several goals simultaneously:

Avoids Escalation
By offering no proof, India denies Pakistan a diplomatic hook to respond. There’s no need for Pakistan to retaliate if nothing was officially admitted. It keeps the action below the threshold of conventional war.
Maintains Psychological Pressure
When your enemy knows they’ve been hit but cannot prove it, they are forced to question their own capabilities. Pakistan’s air defense, command response, and internal credibility are all now under strain — from within.
Signals Capability Without Boasting
The operation sent a signal: India has the ability to hit strategic underground targets on short notice with pinpoint accuracy. The silence lets that message simmer in the enemy’s mind without fanning public hysteria.
Preserves Diplomatic Leverage
By not claiming credit, India keeps its options open at international forums. It can still claim “restraint” while having exercised measured force behind the scenes.
Retains Operational Secrecy
No acknowledgment means no operational details are released. It preserves mission parameters, platform secrecy, and intelligence sourcing for future action.

🕵️ A Doctrine Built on Denial

This is not the first time India has deployed this approach. In recent years, Indian doctrine has gradually favored what many defense analysts call “quiet power projection” — surgical actions backed by credible deniability, with silence replacing spectacle.

The Kirana Hills strike fits perfectly within this pattern. The silence is the message. And it’s a message meant for Rawalpindi, not New Delhi’s newsrooms.

Would you like me to continue with Part VI: Could Pakistan Have Detected or Stopped the Missile?

Could Pakistan Have Detected or Stopped the Missile?

This is the question that must be haunting the corridors of GHQ Rawalpindi far more than any Indian press release ever could. If indeed there was a precision strike on the Kirana Hills nuclear site — a facility located just a few hundred kilometers from the Indian border — then why was there no interception, no radar alarm, no scramble, and most damning of all: no public awareness until independent satellite data exposed it?

Let’s break this down using the known architecture of Pakistan’s air defense.

🧱 Pakistan’s Integrated Air Defense System (IADS)

Pakistan’s IADS is built on a mix of:

Chinese-origin HQ-9 and LY-80 (FM-90) surface-to-air missile systems
Swedish-origin Saab 2000 AEW&C platforms
Indigenous low-level radars and mobile units
Radar coverage from Sargodha (Mushaf Airbase), Lahore, and Islamabad sectors

This setup, in theory, should offer a multi-layered shield against enemy aircraft and conventional missiles — especially in critical zones like Sargodha, where both airbases and strategic assets like Kirana Hills are concentrated.

So what happened?

⚡ Why SCALP or BrahMos Were Still Undetectable

1. If it was SCALP:

It flies extremely low, often below 100 meters, hugging terrain contours to avoid radar visibility.
Its radar cross-section is minimized by design, and it’s built to slip through detection gaps.
By the time it appears on radar (if at all), it’s already too late.

2. If it was BrahMos:

It travels at Mach 2.8–3.0 — which means from launch to target in under 3 minutes.
Even with detection, reaction time is too short for any interception attempt.
Its flight profile can include sea-skimming, pop-up terminal dive, or semi-ballistic paths, making it unpredictable.

🚫 So Why Was There No Interception?

Because it was likely designed for Pakistan to miss it — and it worked.

Sargodha’s proximity to the Indian border means warning time is extremely limited.
The missile could have been launched from deep inside Indian airspace, giving it a low-angle entry point that bypassed forward radar nodes.
There are known blind spots in Pakistan’s radar grid, particularly at night and during terrain-shadowed trajectories.

🤫 And Why Didn’t Pakistan Even Admit It?

Because admitting it would mean conceding that:

A strategic nuclear facility was hit,
Their air defense systems failed completely,
And worst of all — that their “first strike credibility” is now in doubt.

Instead, they’ve chosen silence, possibly hoping to avoid panic, political fallout, or domestic embarrassment. But the satellite data doesn’t care about saving face. It only records what actually changed on the ground — and in this case, it changed violently.

Sensor Mismatch – Does It Undermine the Findings?

One of the first questions raised when any satellite-based investigation is published — especially one revealing something as politically sensitive as a cross-border strike — is the integrity of the imagery itself. In this case, the question is specific:

Does using two different satellite sources (Sentinel-2 and Landsat 8) compromise the findings?

Let’s examine this thoroughly — because the short answer is no, and the long answer is why that “no” is backed by scientific rigor.

🛰️ Understanding the Sensor Difference

Sentinel-2 L2A
- Managed by: European Space Agency
- Resolution: 10 meters (visible spectrum), 20 meters for others
- Correction Level: Level 2A, meaning atmospheric distortions are already compensated
- Strength: High visual clarity, especially for surface texture and terrain edge definition
- Date used: 9th May 2025 (pre-strike)
Landsat 8 Real-Time (RT)
- Managed by: USGS/NASA
- Resolution: 30 meters for RGB multispectral, 15 meters panchromatic (grayscale sharpened)
- Strength: Thermal band for detecting heat and burn anomalies, excellent for post-impact terrain analysis
- Date used: 10th May 2025 (post-strike)

🧪 Cross-Sensor Analysis: How It Was Done Right

Statscope Research India employed a rigorous 4-step method to ensure that the comparison between these two different satellites is not only legitimate, but mutually reinforcing:

1. Temporal Precision

The images are taken just 24 hours apart — ensuring consistent solar angle, weather, and seasonal surface conditions.

2. Atmospheric Normalization

Sentinel-2’s L2A corrections and Landsat’s radiometric calibration were used to level out environmental effects on visual data.

3. Spectral Alignment

Matching bands were selected between both platforms to ensure we’re comparing like-for-like surface properties, particularly in:
- Red, Green, Blue (RGB) for visual terrain detection
- Shortwave Infrared (SWIR) and thermal bands for heat/burn patterns

4. Geospatial Anchoring

Overlays and annotations were manually adjusted using control landmarks (e.g., known road curves, ridgelines, buildings) to anchor both images to the same map projection and pixel grid.

✅ Why the Changes Are Real — Not Artifacts

Several features observed on 10th May do not exist at all in the 9th May imagery — and cannot be attributed to sensor quality or resolution alone:

The burnt black patch atop the central ridge.
The circular white crater-outline.
The structural disturbance near the northeastern tunnel sector.
The flash-burn bleaching on the southwestern flank.

Even if you downsample Sentinel-2 to 30 meters, or sharpen Landsat 8 with pan-fusion, these features persist across processing methods. That is how we know they are not spectral illusions. They are actual changes on the terrain, visible from space.

🧠 Scientific Integrity of the Conclusion

Sensor mismatch would be a valid concern if:

The dates were weeks apart (allowing natural erosion or weather changes),
The bands compared were mismatched (like infrared vs visible),
Or the terrain changes were subtle and open to subjective interpretation.

In this case, none of those apply.
Instead, both satellites — from two different continents — confirm the same conclusion:
Something struck Kirana Hills between 9th and 10th May, and it left a mark.

What This Tells Us About India’s Strategic Posture

The Kirana Hills incident is not just a tactical moment in India-Pakistan military dynamics — it is a doctrinal inflection point. What happened on the night of 9th–10th May 2025, and more importantly, how India chose to react to it (or not react publicly at all), tells us more about New Delhi’s current mindset than a hundred fiery speeches ever could.

This was not a reflexive escalation. It was not a headline-grabbing bombing run. It was quiet, precise, effective — and intentionally invisible.

Let’s decode what this event reveals about India’s emerging strategic doctrine:

🔄 Shift from Bravado to Surgical Silence

Back in 2019, India responded to the Pulwama terror attack with the Balakot airstrikes, followed by public declarations, image releases, and political mobilization. While that strike served its own purpose, it also triggered global commentary, diplomatic blowback, and strategic uncertainty.

Fast-forward to 2025, and India appears to have evolved past the need for theatrical victories. The Kirana Hills strike, if confirmed, marks the rise of a “silent superiority” doctrine — a model in which:

Actions replace announcements
Precision replaces provocation
Silence becomes strategic currency

🛰️ Rise of Indigenous Capability and Confidence

If the weapon used was indeed a BrahMos-A, it signals more than technical prowess. It reflects India’s growing independence in operational decision-making.

There was no need to clear a strike with foreign governments.
The launch could be executed with fully Indian-controlled platforms.
There’s no reliance on NATO telemetry or third-party targeting.

This level of autonomy emboldens India to act precisely and quietly, knowing that attribution is impossible unless it chooses to self-disclose.

🔄 Escalation Control Through Ambiguity

By avoiding official acknowledgement:

India denies Pakistan a casus belli — a justification for counter-escalation.
It also avoids dragging in third-party arbitrators or international watchdogs.
And it maintains the ability to strike again without having boxed itself into a declared doctrine.

This is a masterstroke of deterrence:
Strike once, say nothing, and let the enemy wonder how many more times it could happen.

🔔 A Message Beyond Pakistan

While Pakistan is the immediate recipient of this signal, the broader audience includes:

China, watching how India asserts silent military deterrence.
The United States, noting India’s ability to act independently.
Other adversaries, reassessing India’s long-assumed restraint.

The days of India being seen as merely reactive or defensive are fading. This operation reflects a mature, calculated, and confident strategic culture — one that is not only capable of deterrence, but of precise, unspoken enforcement of its red lines.

Closing Note: Why This Exclusive Matters

In an era dominated by propaganda, noise, and clickbait military analysis, this exclusive report stands apart — not just because of what it reveals, but how it reveals it.

This investigation wasn’t built on leaks, speculation, or recycled agency dispatches. It was built on data, analyzed independently by Bharat Pulse News in partnership with Statscope Research India, using open-source intelligence (OSINT), multi-platform satellite imagery, and a commitment to verifiable truth.

The Kirana Hills incident is a watershed moment. If confirmed — and the evidence is near-impossible to refute — it will mark India’s first-ever successful precision strike on a suspected nuclear complex. And yet, no one is talking about it. That silence, that ambiguity, is exactly why this report had to be made public — even if it was originally planned for BPN’s Plus Edition.

To conclude, we leave readers with a detailed comment from the analyst who led the geospatial assessment:

🗣️ Darshan Walawalkar, Partner – Statscope Research India:

“When we began this analysis, our goal wasn’t to prove or disprove a theory. It was to follow the pixels, the heat maps, the reflectance shifts — to let the terrain tell us what had happened.

We used Sentinel-2 Level 2A imagery for 9th May, and Landsat 8 Real-Time for 10th May, because they offered the most time-proximate, cross-validated views available to the public.

Our team applied radiometric correction, spectral band matching, and thermal anomaly detection, and aligned both datasets through control point anchoring to eliminate geo-warp and projection mismatches. Once we ran comparative overlays, the findings were indisputable:

A distinct surface blackening emerged. Structural features shifted or vanished. An irregular white-ring — consistent with crater formation — appeared where there was none. The difference was not a sensor artifact. It was a real physical change on the ground.

We then cross-referenced missile signatures and damage patterns from prior tests and known system profiles. Based on speed of impact, the limited surface disturbance, and zero detection by Pakistani systems, we concluded the most plausible weapon used was a BrahMos-A air-launched cruise missile — likely a modified deep-strike penetrator variant.

Our final confidence level in the conclusion that a strike occurred at Kirana Hills between 9th and 10th May 2025 is above 92%, with remaining uncertainty stemming from cloud edge interference on parts of the Landsat image and a known absence of local ground photography.

This investigation was conducted entirely independently, without government input, and our full methodology will be archived for peer audit.”

At Bharat Pulse News, we believe that this is how journalism must respond when governments choose calculated silence. Not by speculating louder — but by verifying deeper. When the world goes quiet, data still speaks.

This is not just a story about what was destroyed. It is a story about how evidence can survive silence.

Editor - News Desk

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