
$3B Nuclear Fuel Deal With Canada: Preparing Electricity for India’s 2047 Economy
India is close to signing a nearly $3 billion long-term uranium supply agreement with Canada. At first glance it sounds like just another energy purchase. But this is not about fixing today’s power cuts. It is about making sure India does not face power shortages twenty years from now when its economy becomes far bigger and far more electricity hungry.
Today India produces electricity from many sources — coal, solar, wind, hydro and gas. Out of the total installed capacity of more than 430 gigawatts, nuclear contributes only about 9 gigawatts. That means barely around 3 percent of the country’s electricity comes from nuclear power. It is tiny. Yet the government is treating it like strategic infrastructure. That alone tells you something important.
India’s main nuclear stations are spread across the country. Kudankulam in Tamil Nadu produces about 2,000 MW. Tarapur in Maharashtra generates roughly 1,400 MW. Rawatbhata in Rajasthan adds around 1,180 MW and Kakrapar in Gujarat contributes about 1,140 MW. Together they power large parts of the southern, western and northern grids. Even states without nuclear plants benefit from the stable electricity they provide.
But there is a problem — fuel.
India produces only about 600 tonnes of uranium every year. The requirement is already higher than that and will rise sharply as new reactors come online. Earlier, because of shortage of imported uranium, some reactors were forced to run below capacity. A power plant without assured fuel is like a bus without diesel. It exists, but it cannot run properly. This is why nuclear plants require guaranteed fuel supply for 40 to 60 years before approval. Without long contracts, banks will not finance reactors and engineers will not build them.
Now consider what is coming next.
Reactors under construction alone will almost double capacity. Projects like Kudankulam Units 3 to 6, Gorakhpur in Haryana, new Rajasthan units, Kakrapar expansion and Chutka in Madhya Pradesh together add nearly 9 gigawatts. Suddenly India’s nuclear capacity moves from about 9 GW to nearly 18 GW. That means uranium demand jumps immediately.
But the real story is beyond that.
India plans massive nuclear parks — Jaitapur in Maharashtra at nearly 9.9 GW, Kovvada in Andhra Pradesh around 6 GW, Mahi Banswara in Rajasthan and a large fleet of indigenous reactors across multiple states. Altogether the long-term target is around 100 GW of nuclear power by 2047. That is more than ten times today’s capacity.
Why does India need so much steady power? Because the economy is changing.
Air conditioners are rising in every city. Electric vehicles will charge at night. Metro rail systems run continuously. Data centres operate 24 hours. Factories cannot shut down after sunset. Solar power disappears in the evening. Wind is unpredictable. Batteries can help for hours, not entire nations.
A modern economy does not just need electricity. It needs guaranteed electricity.
This is called baseload power — the power that never switches off. Coal provided it earlier but pollution limits its expansion. Nuclear provides the same reliability without emissions. Even if nuclear forms only about 10 percent of total capacity in the future, it stabilises the remaining 90 percent.
This is where the Canada deal fits in.
Canada is one of the world’s most reliable suppliers of high-grade uranium. Nuclear fuel must be tracked and verified internationally, so long-term trusted partners matter more than cheap spot purchases. India is not buying uranium for existing plants alone. It is buying confidence to build future plants.
Without fuel assurance, reactors cannot be approved. Without reactors, the grid becomes unstable as renewable share increases. Without stable electricity, industrial growth slows.
In other words, this deal is less about energy and more about economics.
If India reaches developed-economy consumption levels by 2047, electricity demand will multiply. The government is trying to solve that problem today instead of waiting for blackouts tomorrow.
The uranium agreement is therefore not a reaction to shortage. It is prevention.
India once built power plants and then searched for fuel. Now it is securing fuel before building power plants. That shift marks a transition — from managing electricity to planning civilisation-scale energy.














