2024 Jharkhand Assembly Election Exit Poll
BJP Set to Lead, JMM Trails
The 2024 Jharkhand Assembly Elections exit poll conducted by Bharat Pulse News in collaboration with Statscope India indicates a significant lead for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) and its allies in the state. The National Democratic Alliance (NDA), led by the BJP, is poised to dominate the assembly, with the Indian National Congress (INC) and Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (JMM) trailing behind.
Key Projections
- BJP: 43 ±6 seats
- JMM: 21 ±4 seats
- INC: 9 ±3 seats
- AJSU: 4 ±2 seats
- Others: Minimal representation
Key Takeaways
- BJP’s Dominance: The BJP is leading in 43 constituencies, securing its foothold in urban areas like Dhanbad, Deoghar, and Bokaro.
- JMM’s Resistance: JMM has retained strongholds in districts like Gumla, Dumka, and West Singhbhum.
- INC’s Limited Reach: The Congress struggles to maintain a significant presence, with its support base confined to select constituencies.
- AJSU’s Role: AJSU Party’s performance could prove pivotal in forming the government.
District-wise Summary and Key Observations
The exit poll data reveals a clear edge for the BJP in constituencies spread across districts, with the NDA consolidating its hold in urban and semi-urban areas. Meanwhile, the JMM and INC continue to perform well in traditional strongholds, but the margin is unlikely to challenge the NDA’s lead.
| District | Constituency | Prediction | Alliance |
| Sahebganj | Rajmahal | BJP | NDA |
| Sahebganj | Borio | BJP | NDA |
| Sahebganj | Barhait | JMM | INDI |
| Pakur | Litipara | JMM | INDI |
| Pakur | Pakur | INC | INDI |
| Pakur | Maheshpur | JMM | INDI |
| Dumka | Sikaripara | JMM | INDI |
| Jamtara | Nala | BJP | NDA |
| Jamtara | Jamtara | BJP | NDA |
| Dumka | Dumka | BJP | NDA |
| Dumka | Jama | BJP | NDA |
| Dumka | Jarmundi | BJP | NDA |
| Deoghar | Madhupur | JMM | INDI |
| Deoghar | Sarath | BJP | NDA |
| Deoghar | Deoghar | BJP | NDA |
| Godda | Poreyahat | INC | INDI |
| Godda | Godda | BJP | NDA |
| Godda | Mahagama | BJP | NDA |
| Kodarma | Kodarma | BJP | NDA |
| Hazaribagh | Barkatha | BJP | NDA |
| Hazaribagh | Barhi | BJP | NDA |
| Ramgarh | Barkagaon | BJP | NDA |
| Ramgarh | Ramgarh | AJSU | NDA |
| Hazaribagh | Mandu | INC | INDI |
| Hazaribagh | Hazaribagh | BJP | NDA |
| Chatra | Simaria | BJP | NDA |
| Chatra | Chatra | LJP(RV) | NDA |
| Giridih | Dhanwar | BJP | NDA |
| Giridih | Bagodar | CPI(ML)L | INDI |
| Giridih | Jamua | JMM | INDI |
| Giridih | Gandey | JMM | INDI |
| Giridih | Giridih | JMM | INDI |
| Giridih | Dumri | JLKM | OTHERS |
| Bokaro | Gomia | AJSU | NDA |
| Bokaro | Bermo | BJP | NDA |
| Bokaro | Bokaro | BJP | NDA |
| Bokaro | Chandankiyari | BJP | NDA |
| Dhanbad | Sindri | BJP | NDA |
| Dhanbad | Nirsa | BJP | NDA |
| Dhanbad | Dhanbad | BJP | NDA |
| Dhanbad | Jharia | BJP | NDA |
| Dhanbad | Tundi | JMM | INDI |
| Dhanbad | Baghmara | BJP | NDA |
| East Singhbhum | Baharagora | JMM | INDI |
| East Singhbhum | Ghatsila | JMM | INDI |
| East Singhbhum | Potka | BJP | NDA |
| East Singhbhum | Jugsalai | AJSU | NDA |
| East Singhbhum | Jamshedpur East | BJP | NDA |
| East Singhbhum | Jamshedpur West | JD(U) | NDA |
| Seraikela Kharsawan | Ichagarh | JMM | INDI |
| Seraikela Kharsawan | Seraikella | BJP | NDA |
| West Singhbhum | Chaibasa | JMM | INDI |
| West Singhbhum | Majhgaon | JMM | INDI |
| West Singhbhum | Jaganathpur | BJP | NDA |
| West Singhbhum | Manoharpur | JMM | INDI |
| West Singhbhum | Chakradharpur | JMM | INDI |
| Seraikela Kharsawan | Kharsawan | JMM | INDI |
| Ranchi | Tamar | JMM | INDI |
| Khunti | Torpa | BJP | NDA |
| Khunti | Khunti | BJP | NDA |
| Ranchi | Silli | AJSU | NDA |
| Ranchi | Khijri | INC | INDI |
| Ranchi | Ranchi | BJP | NDA |
| Ranchi | Hatia | BJP | NDA |
| Ranchi | Kanke | BJP | NDA |
| Ranchi | Mandar | INC | INDI |
| Gumla | Sisai | JMM | INDI |
| Gumla | Gumla | JMM | INDI |
| Gumla | Bishunpur | JMM | INDI |
| Simdega | Simdega | INC | INDI |
| Simdega | Kolebira | INC | INDI |
| Lohardaga | Lohardaga | INC | INDI |
| Latehar | Manika | INC | INDI |
| Latehar | Latehar | BJP | NDA |
| Palamu | Panki | BJP | NDA |
| Palamu | Daltonganj | BJP | NDA |
| Palamu | Bishrampur | BJP | NDA |
| Palamu | Chhatarpur | BJP | NDA |
| Palamu | Hussainabad | BJP | NDA |
| Garhwa | Garhwa | BJP | NDA |
| Garhwa | Bhawanathpur | BJP | NDA |
